Electoral Swing Simulator

2024 presidential baseline · Apply a uniform national partisan shift

National swing

± 0.0

Democratic +20EvenRepublican +20

Safe Dem Likely Dem Lean Dem Toss-up Lean Rep Likely Rep Safe Rep

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Electoral votes

DEM

226

TOSS-UP

0

REP

312

Republican majority

Electoral units changed from 2024

No changes from the 2024 baseline

This is a uniform-swing illustration, not a forecast. State colors use statewide margins; Maine and Nebraska electoral votes are calculated by their statewide and congressional-district results.

Map geometry: us-atlas · Baseline total: National Archives